Thursday 26 November 2015


GBPJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

WEEKLY

The weekly trend is now moving slowly upwards in tight channel with a large bearish bias. The rounding marked by Z increases the bearish bias indicating a high probability of another swing down into the large weekly and monthly support around 175.41. But this can only be confirmed by a break and close below trendline marked X.



Monday 23 November 2015


USDJPY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

DAILY

There is a possibility of retest of monthly highs and even making higher highs around 127.327 resistance zone but change in the momentum on the monthly chart puts a lot of downward pressure.
On the daily, there is still for chance for another upward swing but a close below 122.735 support zone marked by Z may lead to selling up to around the 120.702 support zone marked by Y. 


Tuesday 17 November 2015


GBPAUD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

DAILY

The pair is now channeling upwards with strong down side pushes after break of the major trend. Break of the of the support trendline Y will land it into an immediate support zone around 2.11867 and break of that will lead to retest of the daily lows around 2.09658. The 2.13573 is strong daily support therefore wait for a break and close of the candle below the zone.

Wednesday 28 October 2015

ATTRIBUTES OF A SUCCESSFUL TRADER


As i had promised in the previous article to discuss the attributes of a successful forex trader. These are the most important of all. It's as simple as understanding the mechanisms of a predator.
What hurts new traders is that they can not distinguish between facts and opinions and they end up behaving like gamblers in the markets. The forex market is the most efficient financial markets around. Trading takes place 24 hours during weekdays, with a daily turnover of over two trillion dollars per day. A number of economic, political and social events happen to affect the value of currencies. A trader’s lack of understanding of the market leads to incorrect assumptions and predictions about events and how they will impact the market, a phenomenon known as the gambler’s fallacy. That is why most individuals think trading is gambling just because they lack the understanding of  financial market dynamics.  
The following are the essentials of forex trading success.

Trading plan.

The secret of success in these markets is not to make money fast, but to make it consistently. So you must develop a trading plan that can build up equity over a long term independently of market conditions. It doesn't matter how long you have been a trader, you are faced with some of the most difficult psychological challenges you will probably ever experience in your life. As a trader, you will forever be fighting with your emotions making sure they stay away from your trading decisions
You have two choices, you can either  methodically follow a written plan or fail
The markets are an interesting, stimulating game but they are also emotionally and at times physically challenging. Just like the predator, you have to learn to take the injuries  sometimes.
How many people are willing to admit the battle ground isn't the markets but what's within you? A plan helps you to fight what's within you. 
Your trading plan must clearly define your entries, exits, market conditions and the amount of money your risking on your trade.

Discipline.

The greatest risk in forex trading lies in trader himself. Discipline is the ability to follow your predetermined rules as written in your trading plan. This protects you from over trading
Only one or two good trades a month are enough. You only trade the high probability setups.You have to focus like a sniper so that it is worth the short not a machine gunner who shoots at anything.This is your  hard earned money at stake so you cant just enter any trade.



Patience

It is one of the hardest attribute to exhibit but just like a predator you must develop patience.
All you need to do is to sit and wait for your setups.The setup to take will just show it self according to your set trading plan. You sit and watch, the one to be eaten will bring itself.



Risk and money management.

This is the hardest of all to master. Never risk more than 5% of your account on any trade. This explains why some traders never make any profits or break even while trading. They make $100 this week and lose $200 the next week. This is simply because they have not mastered the risk reward ratios. No single strategy has 100% success rate. Therefore you need a strategy that gives you a chance to recover from losses not just protect you from losses.You MUST only take setups that have a risk: reward ratio of atleast 1:2.  I usually encourage my fellow traders and my students to take setups that atleast give them 3 times what they are risking. So you must wait for the high probability setups.

Trading journal.

Like any other business, you must track and measure your progress. A Trading journal is a record of the your trades and the reason for taking the trades. You can not improve what you can't measure. It helps you to identify mistakes hence improving your trading.

Conclusion

So have got to BE(Develop attributes) before you can DO(Trade) and do before you can HAVE(Profits).

"Develop attributes(self), Trade, Profit" Theory.
It is not easy, but its very possible.

If you develop all the attributes you go home with your profit.

Thursday 8 October 2015

EURJPY Technical Analysis


EURJPY Technical Analysis.

Weekly:

Price is reacting on a major resistance zone and congesting in an ascending  triangle marked by X and Y aqua lines which is cut  through by a major red trendline marked Z. The triangle still has a bearish bias but a confirmed break of the Y trendline can lead to retest the zone of the previous high around 145.707 marked by the C orange horizontal resistance. A break of the X horizontal support may lead to retest of lows around the 127.464 support zone marked by the horizontal trendline marked A.

Daily: 

The same zones as the weekly are the same major resistance and support zones. The magenta horizontal line marked S is a major daily resistance zone. The momentum is clearly still weak on the upswings compared to the strong down swings therefore a bearish bias but this can only be confirmed by the break of the X horizontal support. There fore watch for reactions on the Y and X trendline for the next swing move up or done as discussed on the weekly analysis.

Tuesday 29 September 2015

XAUUSD Trade: 97 pip short term buy

 
Gold hourly chart is showing a strong potential short term buy. The prices landed into the strong support zone around 1122.8 with slowdown of the momentum hence giving it a chance to bounce off strongly. the immediate target is around 1131.97 zone.






Monday 28 September 2015

EURUSD Technical Analysis

The pair has been performing well as we expected as discussed in the previous analysis article.

 Weekly

 

The weekly trend is forming a tight ascending triangle held by strong resistance and support zones marked by R and Z respectively. The triangle seems to have a bearish bias but confirmation will be the break of Z red trendline and then the immediate strong support zone is around 1.05592 marked by the blue horizontal line.












Daily
On the daily a break of the magenta trendline marked X will lead to fall into support of the ascending triangle support trendline marked Z. A break of Z red trendline will lead to retest of lows around the 1.05592 support zone marked by the blue horizontal line.



EURGBP Analysis
Analysis of the pair as discussed in the previous article still stands

Monday 14 September 2015

EURGBP TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

MONTHLY

The monthly trend shows exhaustion with 3 complete waves of selling and landed into a major support zone around 0.69253 marked by S and bounced off strongly. 



The trend still has a chance to retest the lows on the support zone around 0.69253 but a close above 0.73845 marked by A resistance zone will confirm the bullish sentiment. The next resistance zone will be around 0.76490, B and break of that zone will lead to a larger target around 0.82328, C.

DAILY

The daily trend shows a strong bullish sentiment from the lows at 0.69546. 

The price is now reacting to a strong resistance zone around 0.73845, A and a close above it will lead to continuation of the uptrend and next daily target will be around the 0.76490, B resistance zone

Monday 31 August 2015

HOW TO ACHIEVE FOREX TRADING SUCCESS

Success in forex trading is highly possible but does not come on a silver plate. Forex trading can be one of the most rewarding professions for anyone who wants to master the art of trading. Like it or not forex trading is not a get rich quick scheme. So if you come into the forex markets and expect to double your account in just one one month, i advise you to keep your hard earned money and invest it else where.

 Its allover the internet and forex trading books  that only 5% of the traders make the money and 95% lose the money. But this seems to have turned into a law of the universe that only 5% of the population own and earn 95% of the total resources and income. So as a serious trader who wants to join the market arena you need to find away to join the 5% successful traders who are making the money. There are several trading strategies on several websites which have been tested for years and actually they do work but why is it that only 5% of the traders make the money and 95% still lose.

Advances in technology have made access to the markets so easy that you only need a computer connected to the internet to start trading. But that is not what you require to be a successful trader. There has been no significant changes in market behavior in the history of forex trading and this is due to the fact that markets are moved by peoples emotions and behaviors, people behave in repeated predictable ways so market behavior can possibly change if humans evolve. So the only factor creating the difference is YOU.

The market arena is not necessary for the elite, its for anyone who is is willing understand themselves and learn all the virtues of a successful trader. Don't let anyone convince you that success in forex does not take a lot of hard work and focus.... So to achieve success in trading you have to work hard and focus.

In my next article, i will elaborate on the virtues you need to develop to join the the 5% of the successful traders and in turn avoid the grave mistakes made by 95% of the traders that lose.

Read NEXT ARTICLE


Sunday 9 August 2015

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

XAUUSD

Monthly;

Xauusd is in a strong down trend and has just broken out the wedge marked by magenta trendlines. Confirmation of resumption of downtrend will be after break  of 1078.40 support zone or otherwise it could be a false break out that can lead to retest of the 1177.86. Confirmed break of the 1078.40 support  zone can cause fall in gold prices to 983.01 zone or even 917.01 zone.



Daily;

The daily trend is now forming an ascending triangle marked by red trendlines. A break above confirmed by break of the immediate magenta trendline resistance can lead to a retest of the 1131.78 resistance zone. A break lower confirmed by break of the 1078.40 support zone can lead to resumption of the downtrend to 983.01 support zone



EURUSD Technical Analysis 

Monthly
The monthly trend seems to start moving in channel marked by yellow and red trendlines. A break of the 1.05592 will lead to resumption of the major down trend which will fall into monthly support around 1.00883 and break of trendline R can lead to retest of the 1.18828 resistance zone as shown below.




Daily
the pair is still in a congestion making large swings on the daily due to reaction on the large monthly support. Break of the support level at 1.08009 will lead to retest of daily lows at 1.05592 where a large reaction is expected. Break of red trendline  resistance Y will lead to retest of the upper zone of the congestion around 1.13705 which the same zone for the yellow trendline resistance R.


Tuesday 4 August 2015

EURUSD Daily Techinical Analysis




EURUSD
The pair is in a strong monthly and weekly down trend but correcting on a strong support zone as shown in Fig 1. Break of the trend line resistance can lead to the retest of the key resistance zone and break of the key support zone can lead to resumption of the major down trend.
Fig 1; Daily chart of EURUSD




The current daily down trend is hugging the 21SMA as it moves into a key support zone with less momentum hence, a bounce off the zone may be expected