Sunday, 27 November 2016



AUDCAD,
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

MONTHLY CHART

The price is now in a congestion marked by K and G horizontal line (highlighted zone). You can clearly see the 2 waves up and down, a typical characteristic of a congestion. 

Price is now at the top end of the congestion zone at K and has already completed the 2 waves in the congestion making the K resistance zone a strong halt zone. The next likely movement is another two wave until we will see either the bulls or bears succumb.

The period between green and pink arrows indicate averagely how long the price takes to reach the end of the congestion which is averagely 28 months. 



WEEKLY CHART

The weekly chart shows more inside action. The highlighted K-G zone is the same as the one above on the monthly chart. The 2 waves in the congestion can be seen here prominently.

You can see the strong reactions off the ends of the congestion zone like the strong pin bar, that triggered that strong sell of.


Thursday, 24 November 2016



USDCAD Hourly 
SHORT TERM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Price is now reacting to a small trendline support and 21 Simple Moving Average. Close below B can lead price into support one C around 1.34485. Close above A disqualifies the setup






Wednesday, 23 November 2016


ADVANCED TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

AUDJPY, MONTHLY 
PURE PRICE  ACTION ANALYSIS

In-depth price pattern action analysis includes majorly the following as we had discussed in the prevvious article
  • Analysis of the major swing moves and how long they have been lasting
  • Analysis of the corrective moves and how long they have been lasting
  • The current probable status
  • General conclusion on the pair 




Analysis of major swing moves.
The major swing moves are indicated by the green arrows have been averagely lasting for about 13 months and moving over 2400 pips. As i had mentioned in the previous article, understanding of the price action of these major swings enables you not to get out of the trades too early or too late. It also enables you not to make entries into an ended/exhausted swing since you now know how long they averagely last

Analysis of corrective moves 
The corrective moves have been lasting averagely 2 years, atleast twice the period of major swings. I have marked the corrective moves with gray ellipses. Observing how long these congestion zones helps not to enter the major swing trades too early or too late and the timeframes to trade on during different market phases

 Probable status.
The price is now in the congestion phase. The congestion limits are marked by horizontal lines A and C with B being the major pivotal zone. Close above A or below C will confirm the next major swing in the respective directions only when the congestion period has lasted on average as the previous congestions.

General conclusion
Understanding pure price action helps you to know what phase the price is in apparently. Congestion on the larger times like this monthly chart give great swings on the weekly and daily charts with trading mainly limited within the pink rectangle. Just like how those up and down swings on that monthly chart indicate congestion on the yearly time frame




Tuesday, 22 November 2016



GBPJPY, 30MINUTES
DAY TRADE SHORT TERM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

The price is now reacting to small trendline support T. Close below T can lead price into support zone around 136.956 marked A. Strong close below A can lead price into B. Close above R disqualifies the setup.



Monday, 21 November 2016



EURAUD,MONTHLY

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

The monthly chart has a cup and handle formation. Continuation to the upside will be confirmed by a close above R. The price momentum up L should preferably be strong just as the previous swing K for price to reach the 1.81747 resistance zone marked T.  If the L swing is weak, the R resistance zone is likely to hold the price. Close below S disqualifies the setup.



Sunday, 20 November 2016



AUDJPY, H4
SHORT TERM TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Price is now reacting to support zone around 81.085 marked X. Close below X can lead price into Y support zone around 80.484. Close above P disqualifies the setup






AUDCHF
WEEKLY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

The price is congesting in a triangle marked by the blue trendlines A and B. It is now reacting to the 21 Simple Moving support, the green trendline is next support. Close below the green trendline will price into the bottom of the congestion at B blue trendline. Close below B can lead to the retest of lows into support zone around 0.63893 marked S.
Close above R disqualifies the setup.